The Jags have tightened up their run defense after allowing the Titans to run for a stunning 282 yards in the season opener.  The Jags have only allowed 46.3 yards rushing per game the last three weeks.  The Texans must still attempt to run the ball or Matt Schaub will be under a siege of blitzes.  The Texans are hoping that Ahman Green can play as that might be able to help them have balance in the offense.  If Green can’t go the Texans will likely throw the ball really often.  TE Owen Daniels, Kevin Walter and Andre’ Davis will put some pressure on the Jags defense but CB Rashean Mathis is one of the best cover corners in the NFL so Schaub should steer clear of dealing with him too much on Sunday.

The Jaguars prefer to run the football and it will be interesting to see how that plays out.  The Texans run defense is much improved this season as they are allowing 91.4 yards rushing per game and 3.8 yards per carry.  Still, look for Fred Taylor (207 yards rushing), Maurice Drew (182 yards rushing) and QB David Garrard (108 yards rushing) will put a lot of pressure on the Texans’ front 7.  In the passing game look for Garrard (105.4 QB Rating) to be efficient against a defense that is allowing 213.2 yards passing per game.  The amazing thing about Garrard’s passing success this season is the fact that he’s moving the football around as only two receivers have caught 12 or more passes this season for the Jags.

PREDICTION:  The Jaguars are on a roll and look for it to continue this Sunday.  The combination of their running game and defense will be too much for the Texans.